Generalization error for Tweedie models: can it be decomposed as for Normal and Poisson and can it be reduced with bagging?

Abstract

Wüthrich and Buser studied the generalization error for Poisson regression models. This short note aims to extend their results to the Tweedie family of distributions, to which the Poisson law belongs. In case of bagging, a new condition emerges that becomes increasingly binding with the power parameter involved in the Tweedie variance function.

Keywords: Generalization error, Supervised learning, Exponential dispersion family,  Tweedie, Bagging

Sector: Insurance

Authors: Michel Denuit and

Julien Trufin

 

Publication: European Actuarial

Journal 

Date: February 2021

Language: English

About the authors

Michel Denuit

Michel is an Honorary Scientific Advisor at Detralytics, as well as a professor in actuarial science at the Université Catholique de Louvain. He has international experience as a visiting professor, and has promoted many projects in collaboration with the industry. At Detralytics, Michel coaches young talents, provides cutting-edge training, fosters innovation and oversees R&D projects.

Julien Trufin

Julien is a Scientific Advisor at Detralytics, as well as a professor in Actuarial Science at the department of mathematics of the Université Libre de Bruxelles. Julien has experience as a consultant and a strong academic background developed at prominent institutions, including Université Laval (Canada), UCL, and ULB (Belgium). At Detralytics, Julien coaches young talents, provide cutting-edge training, fosters innovation and oversees R&D projects.

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