{"id":3989,"date":"2023-05-20T09:41:04","date_gmt":"2023-05-20T09:41:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/detralytics.com\/?p=3989"},"modified":"2026-06-22T14:34:34","modified_gmt":"2026-06-22T14:34:34","slug":"cyber-incident-reports-extrapolating-severity-using-neural-networks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/detralytics.com\/fr\/publications\/cyber-incident-reports-extrapolating-severity-using-neural-networks\/","title":{"rendered":"Cyber incident reports: extrapolating severity using neural networks"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"3989\" class=\"elementor elementor-3989\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-29e19e6 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"29e19e6\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;,&quot;shape_divider_bottom&quot;:&quot;tilt&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-shape elementor-shape-bottom\" aria-hidden=\"true\" data-negative=\"false\">\n\t\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 1000 100\" preserveaspectratio=\"none\">\n\t<path class=\"elementor-shape-fill\" d=\"M0,6V0h1000v100L0,6z\"\/>\n<\/svg>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f50ace3 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"f50ace3\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h1 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Cyber incident reports: extrapolating severity using neural networks\n<\/h1>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b0cc5be elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"b0cc5be\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">DetraNote 2023-4<\/h3>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-87f3931 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"87f3931\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9aa7e1d e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"9aa7e1d\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-67f934f elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"67f934f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/detralytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Detra-Note-2023-4_Cyber-Incident-Reports.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"767\" height=\"1080\" src=\"https:\/\/detralytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Miniature-Cyber-incident-reports-767x1080.png\" class=\"elementor-animation-grow attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-image-3995\" alt=\"Cyber incident reports- Detralytics\" srcset=\"https:\/\/detralytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Miniature-Cyber-incident-reports-767x1080.png 767w, https:\/\/detralytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Miniature-Cyber-incident-reports-768x1082.png 768w, https:\/\/detralytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Miniature-Cyber-incident-reports.png 1018w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 100vw, 767px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-420ffe4 elementor-align-center elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"420ffe4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm\" href=\"https:\/\/detralytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Detra-Note-2023-4_Cyber-Incident-Reports.pdf\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-far-arrow-alt-circle-down\" viewbox=\"0 0 512 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M256 8C119 8 8 119 8 256s111 248 248 248 248-111 248-248S393 8 256 8zm0 448c-110.5 0-200-89.5-200-200S145.5 56 256 56s200 89.5 200 200-89.5 200-200 200zm-32-316v116h-67c-10.7 0-16 12.9-8.5 20.5l99 99c4.7 4.7 12.3 4.7 17 0l99-99c7.6-7.6 2.2-20.5-8.5-20.5h-67V140c0-6.6-5.4-12-12-12h-40c-6.6 0-12 5.4-12 12z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">T\u00e9l\u00e9charger<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2e62cc6 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"2e62cc6\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fc5d00b elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"fc5d00b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Introduction<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f1e1dc7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f1e1dc7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Due to its emerging nature, cyber risk is a field in which very few data exist when it comes to calibrating models for the severity of such events. This makes the task of actuaries particularly challenging regarding pricing or claim management. In the present note, we present a general methodology to process text data using neural networks, and how it can be used to determine the severity of a cyber incident when this information is missing. This methodology is illustrated on a public benchmark database. It can be used either to augment database, by adding some claim incidents to historical databases, from reported incident whose cost is unknown. It can also be used to quickly evaluate the severity of a cyber claim just after its occurrence.<\/p><p><strong><span style=\"color: #097566;\">Mots-cl\u00e9s : <\/span><\/strong>Cyber risk ; Natural Language Processing ; Neural Networks.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0f29719 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"0f29719\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;gradient&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2952de9 elementor-widget__width-inherit elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"2952de9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><b>Secteur : <\/b>Assurance<\/p><p><b><\/b><b>Expertise: <\/b>Cyber risk<\/p><p><b>Auteurs :<\/b> Justin Kher,\u00a0<\/p><p>Olivier Lopez\u00a0<span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-f898f31 ); background-color: transparent; text-align: var(--text-align);\">and Hugo Rapior<\/span><\/p><p><b>\u00a0<\/b><\/p><p><b>\u00c9diteur :<\/b> Detralytics<\/p><p><b>Date:<\/b> May 2023<\/p><p><b>Langue :<\/b> Anglais<\/p><p><b>Pages:<\/b> 33<\/p><p><b>R\u00e9f\u00e9rence :<\/b> Detra Note 2023-4<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c6ae38d e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"c6ae38d\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a1c05c2 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"a1c05c2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f183faa elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"f183faa\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">\u00c0 propos des auteurs<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-53f26ef e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"53f26ef\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-45ca7dd e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"45ca7dd\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d43f55d elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"d43f55d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"800\" src=\"https:\/\/detralytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Rond_Justin.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-4248\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/detralytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Rond_Justin.jpg 1042w, https:\/\/detralytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Rond_Justin-768x768.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f0de6fc e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"f0de6fc\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-224cb75 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"224cb75\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Justin Kher<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-58dff6d elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"58dff6d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Justin holds a Master&#8217;s degree in Mathematics (Actuarial Route &amp; DU in Actuarial Science) from ISFA in Lyon, France. In the past years, he has gained experience in inventory, provisioning and automation. He has also worked on several projects such as the estimation of the severity of property and casualty claims by Random Forest.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b455dd6 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"b455dd6\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-826b55c e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"826b55c\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a4936f2 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"a4936f2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"800\" src=\"https:\/\/detralytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Olivier_Rond.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-3728\" alt=\"Olivier Lopez\" srcset=\"https:\/\/detralytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Olivier_Rond.jpg 1042w, https:\/\/detralytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Olivier_Rond-768x768.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-888af75 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"888af75\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b42de73 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"b42de73\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Olivier Lopez<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c03f01f elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"c03f01f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"color: #383838;\"><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); background-color: var( --e-global-color-b500f0a );\">At Detralytics, Olivier is a Scientific Advisor and he coaches young talents, provides cutting-edge training, fosters innovation and oversees R&amp;D projects.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"color: #383838;\">Olivier is also a professor at ENSAE in Paris (FR) and also co-director of the Master 2 in Statistics, Finance and Actuarial Sciences. He is a Qualified Actuary and has a compelling academic background developed in prominent universities.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-60d7078 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"60d7078\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-aa9aef7 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"aa9aef7\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-108ba5b elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"108ba5b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/detralytics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Hugo_Rond.jpg\" title=\"Hugo_Rond\" alt=\"Hugo_Rond\" loading=\"lazy\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-58283fc e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"58283fc\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4813f40 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"4813f40\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Hugo Rapior<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f161adc elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f161adc\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Hugo is part of the Talent Consolidation Program (TCP) and is also People Lead at Detralytics. Before joining Detralytics, Hugo worked in life and non-life insurance for a major player in the insurance industry, within an international division. Since joining the firm, Hugo has had the opportunity to extend his skills in non-life pricing, across a range of product types (Motor, MRH, Bank Cards and Cyber).<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a7361f7 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"a7361f7\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d9ef9cf elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"d9ef9cf\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm\" href=\"https:\/\/detralytics.com\/fr\/publications\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span 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